In early trade, futures are popping by a good amount, taking the S&P 500 (FXCM: SPX500) back towards the 2020/25 vicinity where the May low pivot lies as well as a swing low created back in March. We will look for an initial reaction off a test of this area, but should no selling pressure appear, a larger rebound towards 2040 could be taking shape in the very short-term.
Sharp declines such as the one experienced since Friday rarely end after two days with the market immediately turning back higher and creating a new uptrend. Assuming the futures hold up into the cash session (13:30 GMT) we will have a sizable gap. For day-traders, these gap-ups against strong downward moves tend to offer good opportunities to fade for a decline towards the unchanged line at the least.
From a swing-trade viewpoint, the next notable level of support we are watching isn’t until around the ~1940/50 vicinity, which constitutes the breakout point of the double-bottom retest from February. Given the velocity of the recent down-turn a move towards those levels looks quite possible on this current leg lower.

 
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